Яндекс.Метрика

Issue № 11, November 2020, article № 10

Foreign trade indicators are as indicators of food security (international approach and russian practice)

With the introduction of the new Food Security Doctrine in 2020, the criteria for its assessment have changed - the level of food independence has given way to the level of food self-sufficiency. At the same time, both the first and second criteria are known in the practice of analyzing foreign trade - they are derived from the level of dependence on imports and the ratio of net exports to consumption. Such a transition reflects a change in the model of agricultural development - from overcoming import dependence to export orientation. The aim of the present study is to attempt to address a number of methodological problems arising from the use of self-reliance as a criterion for food security. The first problem is the need to reflect intra-industry trade in assessing self-reliance. The proposed solution is to factorize the corresponding indicator into elements that characterize the level of food independence and the contribution of exports to production. The practical effect of the proposed model was to prove that the self-sustainment thresholds established in the Doctrine were not related to the export volume of specific products and did not take into account the planned objectives of the federal project "Export of agro-industrial products." The second problem is the potential unreasonable increase in self-sufficiency in replacing consumption with export. As a solution to the problem, a factor model is proposed, based on the use of sustainable consumption standards, taking into account its endowment with domestic resources and the contribution of exports to production. The use of the model showed that, despite the increase in the level of self-sufficiency in vegetable oil and fish, there was an increase in the relative volume of imports for these products, and an additional decrease in consumption for fish. A third problem relates to the aggregation of self-sufficiency by product into an overall level of food security. A formula is proposed for calculating it as an average level weighted by the structure of household consumer spending.

Structural transformation and technological modernization of the russian agricultural sector: challenges and approaches to optimization

In recent years, there have been some positive changes in the country's agriculture in terms of its structural and technological modernization. This is facilitated by a structured system of state support for priority areas of development of each particular region. At the same time, the nature and pace of ongoing changes vary markedly from region to region. This is influenced by the investment policy of a particular subject of Russia, the state of rural development, the level of state support, and the role of agricultural organizations in the agricultural structure of the region. In this regard, it is necessary to analyze the nature of the changes in the context of the country's subjects, primarily for agricultural organizations, the state of which directly affects the situation in the industry as a whole. It is necessary to study the share of the rural population in the total number and the economic behaviour of agricultural organizations. It is revealed that among the regions that demonstrate high rates of economic growth in agriculture, the subjects included in the Central Federal district, which are characterized by noticeable investment activity, are overwhelmingly represented. To a large extent, the increased investment activity in these regions is due to systematic efforts to attract private capital for the implementation of major projects. At the same time, regions with a predominance of rural population and low-commodity forms in the structure of the agricultural economy are unable to compete with the above-mentioned subjects in terms of investment activity, which contributes to the growth of deformational manifestations in the socio-economic development of agriculture. In this regard, and in order to reduce this gap, it seems appropriate to develop measures of state incentives for structural and technological modernization of the agro-industrial complex individually for groups of regions.

How to improve the planning of the federal project "export of agricultural products"

Scientific literature thoroughly debates the foresights and risks of the federal project “Export of production of agro-industrial complex”. However, the failures of its planning have not been studied. The paper shows that, as a consequence of such failures, some federal subjects of Russia have made such commitments that are either cannot be fulfilled or may yield severe difficulties. This is proved by the outcome of computer simulation on the model of equilibria in the regional markets of agricultural production. The simulated scenario reflects the regional commitments on the federal project made for year 2019. It is found that six oblasts adjacent to the state border, namely Amur, Astrakhan, Bryansk, Kaliningrad, Rostov and Smolensk, are unable to fulfil their obligations under the scenario terms. The case of the Astrakhan oblast has shown that the oblast made its commitment on grain assuming that the transit of exported grain from other regions is to be accounted for. As a consequence, its year 2019 commitment exceeds the existing grain production almost 24 times, while its planned production growth for the period 2014 to 2019 is just 49‰. Thus, the commitment of the Astrakhan oblast needs to be revised. Based on the performed analysis, it is proposed to reform the planning system for the federal project so as to supplement it with obligatory resource usage calculations for each federal subject taking into account its commitment. This can be provided by means of the mathematical economic model that has been applied for this study. Moreover, it is suggested to publish rationale for the federal subjects' commitments for the purpose of timely revealing inaccuracies by the expert community.

Strategic guidelines for the development of agro-industrial integration in the krasnodar territory

The assessment of the change in the structure of the State Program for the Development of Agriculture and the regulation of markets for agricultural products, raw materials, and food after its prolongation is given. The factors affecting the substantiation of the directions of strategic development of agro-food complexes at the regional level are substantiated. Critical analysis of the Strategy of socio-economic development of the Krasnodar Territory until 2030 in terms of the development of the agro-food complex is provided. It is noted that the scale of the tasks facing the agro-food complex of the region requires its structural modernization, certain diversification of both the agrarian sector and the processing industry, increasing the efficiency of interaction between producers and processors of agricultural products, improving the system of integration relations, increasing the rate of technical and technological modernization of all links of the agro-food complex, optimization of technological chains, minimization of transaction costs and, ultimately, the formation of sustainable competitive advantages, allowing regional producers in the long term to successfully compete both in the Russian and foreign markets. The "gaps" of the Action Plan for the implementation of the Strategy are revealed when describing the indicators of the development of agriculture and the processing industry, which violate the principle of systematic consideration of the problems of the functioning of the agro-food complex as a complicated territorial-sectoral system. As a priority measure for the implementation of the Development Strategy of the Krasnodar Territory, it is proposed to develop the Strategy for the development of the agro-food complex of the region. It is concluded that the problem of effective development of the agro-food complex can be successfully solved only if a rational system of inter-sectoral and inter-subjective relations is formed and the possibility of balancing the multidirectional economic interests of entities forced to integrate to ensure their own reproduction.

Improvement of economic relations in the agro-industrial complex for scientific and technical development

The article is devoted to the problems of scientific and technical development of the agro-industrial complex and the introduction of the latest technical, technological and other achievements of science and practice in various branches and spheres of activity of agro-industrial production. Proceeding from the fact that a significant part of commodity producers do not have enough financial resources to modernize production, acquire advanced equipment and technologies, introduce other types of innovative products; it is proposed to draw the attention of scientists and specialists of the agro-industrial complex, government agencies and other interested parties to the possibility of using new approaches for these purposes to the relationship of participants in agro-industrial clusters. In particular, it is proposed to carry out mutual settlements between them when introducing innovations, taking into account the effect actually received by commodity producers from innovations. This approach will allow, on the one hand, the developer to implement an innovative product, showing maximum interest in its effective implementation; on the other hand, it will provide even unprofitable and low-profit producers with the possibility of scientific and technological development of production. This will also allow starting to improve communications between participants in agro-industrial clusters through the introduction of information technology. The development of the digital economy with a unified approach to software, standardization of forms and methods for collecting, storing and processing information resources at all levels of government, with appropriate government support, will contribute to the digitalization of the agro-industrial complex and will create a unified automated information system for the country.

Methodological aspects of the study of sustainable development of rural areas

The beginning of the XXI century is marked by the purposeful political leadership of the Russian Federation on the development of rural territories, improving the level and quality of life of the rural population. So, in 2002, the federal target program "Social development of the village until 2010" was adopted and then extended until 2013. Its logical continuation was the Concept of Sustainable Development of Rural Territories of the Russian Federation for the Period until 2020, approved by Order of the Government of the Russian Federation dated November 30, 2010 No. 2136-r. According to the results of the implementation of the Concept, the Government of the Russian Federation in 2015 approved the "Strategy for the sustainable development of rural territories of the Russian Federation for the period until 2030 (hereinafter - the Strategy). The positive results of the socio-economic development of rural areas and agro-industrial complex were well known. It is also undeniable that they were achieved largely thanks to the activities carried out in the above-mentioned documents. At the same time, another thing is obvious: the number of poor villagers is slowly declining; There is still a significant gap in the disposable income and social and cultural facilities of residents of the city and the village; health services for the rural population remain very problematic; Food security doctrine thresholds have not been met for all agricultural products; increased interregional differentiation in production levels and economic efficiency; Methodological support for the implementation of the Strategy, including a system of sustainable rural development targets, remains debatable. In this regard, the authors tried: to reveal the essence of the concept of "sustainable development of rural areas"; To propose a system of indicators for the sustainable development of rural areas that adequately disclose the content of this concept and apply to territorial entities of any region; Consider the need for and possibility of modelling an integral indicator of sustainable rural development that clearly reflects this process in time and space.

Formation of sustainable food supply chains and their impact on rural development

The purpose of the study is to assess the development of short food supply chains and identify their advantages for the functioning of rural areas. It is established that the predominant development of long food supply chains in the country based on large-scale vertically integrated production is inherited from the previous socialist system. In market conditions, the development of long food supply chains in the country based on vertically integrated production, with the placement of their main financial centers in large cities and regional centers, leads to increased monopolization of the food market, reducing the tax base in rural areas. Over concentration of capital and livestock in a limited space by agricultural holdings in large complexes in rural areas leads to environmental degradation, significant losses in biodiversity, and increased pressure on ecosystems. High-intensity agriculture, through the use of economies of scale and modern technologies, has accelerated the displacement of labour resources from the production sector, increasing unemployment in rural areas. In these conditions, a certain stabilizing social role in rural areas is played by small forms of management: personal subsidiary farms (LPH), individual farms (IF) population, K(f)X, small independent agricultural organizations. In this regard, an important task is to identify the problems of their development, determine the conditions under which they can become competitive producers in the local market of the food chain. In Russia, the following three types of food supply chains have been identified: long, short, and ultra short. The scientific novelty lies in the theoretical justification of the basic principles and indicators of sustainable food supply chains. A form of short supply chain capital generation (SCP) has been identified, which contributes to improving their competitiveness and sustainability of relatively long supply chains. Based on the analysis of the St. Petersburg food market, the main problems of the weak development of the SCP in the region are investigated.