Яндекс.Метрика

Prospects for the Export of Russian Agri-food Products to the European Union

Increasing exports of agri-food products is an important factor in achieving Russia's national development goals until 2030. The priority markets for Russian products include European Union countries. The key importance for the realization of the export potential of the Russian agriculture is to identify the features and assess the opportunities for the development of Russian agri-food exports to the EU countries, which is the purpose of this study. The degree of compliance of the export profile of Russia with the import profile of the EU countries, as well as the export profile of the EU with the import profile of Russia, were assessed using trade complementarity coefficients. The dynamics of complementarity indices indicate limited opportunities for a qualitative increase in Russian exports to the EU. The list of commodity groups for the export of which Russia has identified comparative advantages is established using the Balassa and Lafey indices. Most of the groups of agri-food products that Russia has advantages in exporting are supplied by our country to European markets. The share of such goods accounts for almost 60% of the current Russian agri-food exports to the EU countries. They also account for the bulk of the unrealized export potential of Russian agri-food products in European markets. Reaching the potential volumes of supplies to the EU will increase Russian exports of frozen fish to Europe by almost 3 times, wheat by 60%, corn by 5 times, and sunflower oil by almost 16 times. The full realization of Russia's export potential will increase by more than 70% the size of the supply of products to the pan-European market and thereby improve the negative balance of agri-food trade with the EU. At the same time, reaching a positive balance in Russia's agri-food trade with the EU in the foreseeable future is unlikely, despite the policy of the food embargo and the reorientation of Russian trade to the East.

Issue № 10, October 2021, article № 10

Rationale for the Transition From Rural Development Policy to Rural-urban Development Policy

In the twentieth century, industrialization and urbanization stimulated rural outflows from rural to urban areas. An increase in the proportion of the urban population was one of the indicators of the development of the country and its individual regions. The reduction of the rural population was stimulated by the state. The outflow of the population from the villages allowed increasing labor productivity and income of the remaining residents. With the adoption of the State Program for the Integrated Development of Rural Territories (SP IDRT), significant adjustments have been made to this policy: the main goal of the new policy is to prevent a decrease in the share of the rural population in its total number, maintain social control over the territory, and contribute to improving the national security of the country. To achieve the main goal, it is planned to ensure a sharp increase in the employment of the rural population, a faster increase in the incomes of the villagers compared to the townspeople, and an increase in the improvement of rural housing. In this article, in the order of scientific discussion, an attempt was made to consider an alternative SP IDRT version of the policy, which provides not for separate measures for the development of rural territories, but for the integrated development of rural-urban territories. To justify the alternative policy option, data were analyzed for the constituent entities of the Russian Federation and municipal areas based on their classification. According to the results of the analysis, it was found that with an increase in the share of the rural population in the territory, employment and incomes of the population, social payments, budgetary security, and social control over the territory fall. The SP IDRT provides for the preservation of the share of the rural population at approximately the modern level by limiting the outflow of the population from rural settlements, which can negatively affect the employment and income of both rural and urban populations. To ensure the employment of the local population and maintain social control over the territories, it is advisable to form 700-800 urban settlements (small capitals) on the basis of existing rural settlements or the laying of new urban settlements in municipalities where there is no urban population (zero level of urbanization).

Placement and specialization of agriculture in russia

The problem of rational distribution and territorial specialization of agricultural production is of a spatial global nature, which should take into account qualitative changes in agricultural production due to the need to ensure the country's food security, as well as the growth of Russia's export potential in the world food market. As you know, the irrational distribution and specialization of agricultural production do not contribute to an increase in profitability and highly efficient use of resources. At present, agricultural organizations are focused not so much on the rational distribution of production and specialization, as on the maximum profit, without taking into account the scientific foundations of location and specialization. The state is also not interested in the rational location and specialization of agricultural production due to the need to increase the quantitative indicators of the functioning of agricultural production. The problem of the location and specialization of agricultural production at the present stage of development of the agrarian economy does not allow the maximum use of the available resources of agricultural organizations, does not contribute to the optimization of interregional exchange, as well as regional food security. Meanwhile, according to experts, Russian agriculture is capable of providing food to 500 million people. This requires the implementation of scientific approaches to organizing the location and specialization of agricultural production, it is necessary to optimize interregional exchange, thereby reducing the costs of agricultural and processing industry products, and increasing the purchasing power of the population. Based on the available statistical material, this paper analyzes the location and specialization of agricultural organizations in federal districts, and also calculates the provision of basic food products. The study provides arguments for the additional introduction of agricultural land into circulation, solely to ensure food security and ensure rational nutritional standards for the population of the Russian Federation, without taking into account the increase in food exports.

Using the program-target method for forecasting socio-economic indicators

The reduction of spatial heterogeneity (differentiation) creates more favourable conditions for the development of the national market, the harmonization of socio-economic transformations, the formation of an all-Russian mentality at a qualitatively higher level, and the strengthening of the unity of the Russian state. On the contrary, increasing heterogeneity makes it difficult to carry out a unified policy of socio-economic transformations and the formation of a national market, increases the risks of regional crises and interregional conflicts, the disintegration of the national economy, and the weakening of the integrity of society and the state. The use of the program-target method of forecasting socio-economic indicators is currently the most effective, since the formation and execution of budgets of different levels of the budget system is also carried out by the program-target method. Ensuring the effectiveness of the system of budgetary relations is one of the most important state tasks. The unstable economic situation, which is typical for the present time, causes a shortage of financial resources at all levels of the budget system. Therefore, the issue of the competent organization of the allocation of budget resources is of particular relevance for ensuring socio-economic development. The study summarized the practice of local self-government development and identified the need for further improvement of legislation to strengthen the role of local self-government in solving socio-economic problems through financial mechanisms, combining the powers of local self-government bodies and the program-target method of budget formation. So, using the example of a specific municipality - the Kishertsky Municipal District of the Perm Territory, it was revealed that the relationship between the implemented programs and the indicators of its socio-economic development is quite close. In addition, many indicators of socio-economic development are reflected in several programs at once. It follows from the above that the process of regional development must be regulated and predicted.

Potato market in russia and the world

In Russia the agrarian and industrial complex and the defense industry complex are two non-oil export-oriented diversified leaders who serve according to more than 140 and 100 industries. In third place in export leadership are IT technologies. The world is dominated by grain-potato nutrition and there is a clear trend in growing potato yields. Today, most domestic agricultural organizations and peasant farms do not have modern storage facilities and workshops for the processing of non-standard tubers for starch, cattle cleaning, equipment for washing food potatoes, packing and packaging, including vacuumizing a purified "hogweed" set. As a result, numerous intermediaries and resellers, processors and traders at the expense of poverty-stricken agricultural producers (up to 15-20‰ of agricultural property and agricultural property become unprofitable annually) increase their income by 2-3 times. The article considers organizational elements of the work of modern agricultural production and trade cooperatives (SPTC), created on the basis of small forms of economy, as well as agro-industrial enterprises (AP) and associations, organized on the basis of medium and large agricultural enterprises. It is possible to restore domestic seed production within 3-4 years, when industry research institutes (originators of varieties and hybrids) will transfer their breeding achievements to farm specialized seed-growing SPTC, which promising zoned varieties will be sold in all regions of Russia in their own trading network.