Яндекс.Метрика

Issue № 3, March 2025, article № 14

Forecast estimates of labor demand in agriculture in Russia

The influence of the parameters of development of the Russian agricultural sector on the need for workers is studied. Using econometric models, a forecast estimate of the demand for labor in agriculture, forestry, hunting and fishing is made based on the criteria of sectoral development laid down in state program documents: the State Program for the Development of Agriculture and Regulation of Agricultural Products, Raw Materials and Food Markets (State Program), the Strategy for the Development of the Agro-Industrial and Fishing Complexes of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030 (Strategy) and the forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation up to 2027. The forecast for the development of agricultural sector in Russia is based on the results of the study. A decrease in the need for workers is predicted for all expected options for the sector development. At the same time, a serious shortage of personnel in agricultural production is noted, both at present and in the future, especially in accordance with the expected growth rates of investment in fixed assets. It is calculated that by 2030 the output growth rates specified in the State Program may lead to a decrease in labor demand in the industry by 161 thousand people relative to the 2023 level; the implementation of the basic version of the Strategy assumes a decrease in the number of employees by 217 thousand people compared to the 2023 data, and the target version of the Strategy - by 661 thousand people compared to the 2023. The dynamics of investments in fixed capital of the industry, laid down in the State Program, will lead to labor demand in 2030 at the 2023 level; according to the target and basic versions of the Strategy, the need for workers will be 5.9 and 19.8% higher, respectively, than in 2023. The problem of attracting qualified personnel to the industry in the medium term is expected to prevail over the problem of labor release in agricultural production. It is advisable to use the obtained estimates as basic guidelines for long-term planning of the development of the agro-industrial complex and rural areas.

Issue № 3, March 2025, article № 15

Organizational and economic models of soybean breeding development

Due to the dramatic increase in the global population and its projected further increase to 10.4 billion people by 2050, the issue of increasing the production of animal and plant protein arises. Soybean is a crop whose seeds can contain up to 57% of complete, balanced in amino acid composition protein, which can be used for human nutrition. The President of Russia has set the task to “produce original and elite seeds of agricultural plants” until 2026 as part of the development of the agro-industrial complex and ensuring food security of the state. Soybean is included in the list of agricultural crops of special importance for the country's economy, but the average age of varieties of domestic selection on the market is from 10 to 20 years, which is twice as long as the varieties of foreign selection used in Russia. In this regard, the priority task for the state is to develop its own breeding by applying a new digital development model: from preparation for sowing to obtaining varietal seeds. It will significantly improve scientific and analytical support of the breeding process and draft decisions, including those of organizational and economic nature, by modernizing the mechanism for determining the amount and payment of royalties, improving venture mechanisms for financing breeding developments, increasing the share of domestic soybean breeders and processors in the structure of the global market, etc.

Employment and migration in Russia: status, problems, solutions

The article primarily considers the current situation on the labor market in Russia, which is characterized as more liberal with minimal regulation by the state. This approach to this problem is not justified, because at present the situation in this market has changed dramatically. And it acquires the features of a real social threat. That is why the article examines in detail systemic problems in the field of employment of the population that require urgent solutions. This is primarily a state system of school, higher and secondary vocational education, which is poorly focused on meeting the needs of production in working engineering personnel. Low wages of employees, especially against the background of high incomes of owners and managers, force them to look for alternative types of employment. In addition, the existing employment structure is extremely opaque because about a quarter of the able-bodied are employed in the shadow sector of the economy. The work of several million men in the security business is wasteful employment. Due to the numerous inspectors who control the Russian business, it is forced to keep a large number of non-production personnel. The growing need for workers is met by cheap and unskilled external labor migration. Given its legal unsettlement, this problem requires the adoption of urgent state measures to improve migration policy with the CIS countries. The article proposes systemic measures to restore the current order of labor migration. At the same time, it is necessary to implement systemic measures to reveal and effectively apply the labor potential of the Russian people. A restructuring of state social policy from excessive paternalism to moderate social coercion to work is proposed.

Assessing the efficiency of budget expenditures on agro-industrial complex

Due to the conditional balancing of the federal budget under the deficit, sanctions, contractual SWO, the essence of the assessment of the effectiveness of budget expenditures should be adjusted towards the effectiveness of achieving the goals of sustainable development of the agro-industrial complex. It becomes important not only to quantitatively assess the compliance of budget expenditures efficiency, but also the compliance of budget expenditures with the set goals of sustainable growth of the agro-industrial complex. The article studies the types of budget expenditures for the development of the agro-industrial complex in 2025-2027. Priority directions of budget expenditures contributing to a significant increase in output and productivity in the agro-industrial complex, investment in assets and labor income are highlighted. The urgent need to reduce inefficient expenditures on the growing budgetary sphere, which leads to underfunding of the needs of real producers of globally competitive agricultural products, is outlined. The efficiency of federal budget expenditures on the agro-industrial complex is studied through quantitative assessment of the correlation of output growth to the increment of expenditures and preferences. The evaluation of spending efficiency is considered as a continuous process. It is proved that the coefficient of spending efficiency is in inverse dependence on the growth of inefficient expenditures. Examples of inefficient use of funds in the agro-industrial complex are given. The target trajectory for assessing the effectiveness of budgetary expenditures on the agro-industrial complex is ensuring dynamic sustainable development of the agro-industrial complex with the coefficient of efficiency of spending above 1 with an annual increase in production of 10%.

Some methodological approaches to the interaction of agricultural producers with development institutions as a key area of activation of innovation and investment activities

The article considers methodological approaches to the rational interaction of agricultural producers with development institutions in order to overcome the obstacles facing the agricultural sector: sanctions of unfriendly states, a shortage of own and borrowed resources (in conditions of an increased Central Bank rate), insufficient state support. Development institutions act as a catalyst for both public and private investments in priority sub-sectors of the agricultural sector, defined by national projects and the Federal Scientific and Technical Program for the Development of Agriculture for the period 2017-2030. It is noted that the very definition of the "institute of innovative development" contains 2 conceptual provisions: firstly, it should be an organization that carries out innovative activities and is a recipient of state support, and secondly, this organization is granted the right to provide financial support to subjects of innovative activity itself. The priority directions of development of the agricultural sector of the economy aimed at import substitution, import conservation and achieving sovereignty in high-tech means of production are considered. The necessity of transition to natural high-precision technologies, taking into account the adaptation of ecosystems of the agricultural sector to climate change, natural disasters and reducing the negative impact of anthropogenic activities on the environment, is substantiated. In methodological terms, in relation to the activities of development institutions, it is advisable to use a systemic reproductive approach, since agricultural production is a complex socio-economic system, which by its structure consists of functional and organizational and economic subsystems. The studied branch of the economy is an open natural and biological system between living organisms: soil-plant-animal-human and the environment. Based on the system-reproduction methodology, the paper proposes a model of interaction between development institutions, specialized funds and subsystems of agricultural production. It is proved that for each natural and economic zone, based on research by scientific organizations, a regional regulatory and technological model of agricultural production in electronic form should be created, which will allow, based on a comparative analysis, to make the necessary adjustments to technological policy, including those related to the interaction of an agricultural producer with the development institute. After attracting financial resources (or material and technical resources) of the development institute, a general assessment of the process of intensification of the organization's production, its innovation and investment activities is carried out. The main method for determining the necessary parameters, in order to achieve the process of extended reproduction, can be analytical modeling, which allows you to determine various variants of the model (interaction with the development institute) for discussion, without experimenting on a real object.

Legal forms of agricultural enterprises in terms of the problem of alienation of labor

The problem of increasing labor productivity and employee motivation for high-performance work is typical for the entire real sector of the modern economy. It is associated with the alienation of employees from work and its results. The private form of ownership by appropriation has not solved the issues of the agricultural sector either in terms of increasing the attractiveness of work in the industry, or in terms of increasing labor productivity. The state form of ownership is also on an equal footing with the state in relation to the issue of alienation of labor; moreover, the problem is also aggravated in the aspect of managerial personnel. If the owner, who carries out strategic and, often, current management of the company's activities, is vitally interested in development and financial results, then under state ownership, the head is just as influenced by the alienation factor as a simple worker. The solution to the problem of eliminating the factor of alienation that is demotivating for the development of any enterprise can be found through the development of such organizational and legal forms of enterprises as agricultural production cooperatives and closed joint-stock companies of workers – people's enterprises. While agricultural production cooperatives occupy a small niche in the structure of agricultural enterprises, even the majority of managers and business owners do not know about closed joint-stock companies of employees (national enterprises) in which shares belong to the workforce. The article examines the activities of national enterprises in the aspect of the alienation factor, as the root cause of low motivation of employees for high-performance work.

A study of spatial differences in prices of some fish products and their substitutes in the Russian Federation

Prices are one of the parameters of economic availability of goods and services. Large interregional differences in the price of any product lead to inequality in its availability in some regions and pose a threat to socio-political stability. Therefore, the study of regional prices for basic socially significant goods is a relevant area of economic research. The subject of our study is the phenomenon of spatial heterogeneity in the availability of food products in the Russian Federation, due to price differences. The purpose of the paper is to find patterns in regional price differentiation for the most popular product of the fish group - frozen whole fish and its substitute - beef. Both products are included in the list of basic food products, for which the Doctrine of Food Security of the Russian Federation sets threshold values for food independence, economic and physical availability. The paper analyzes data on the spatial distribution of prices for these goods, determines the main static and dynamic characteristics of price heterogeneity, and identifies key factors that can potentially lead to the emergence of disparity in regional prices. The main results of the work were the identification of a hidden trend of growth of interregional differences in fish prices in the Russian Federation, structuring of regions by price level, and detection of a number of patterns and anomalies in spatial differentiation of fish prices. The methodological basis of the work is statistical analysis tools, which are selected and adapted in accordance with the purpose of the study. The information base is data from publicly available sources.

Identification and neutralization of problems of ensuring financial security of agricultural organizations in the region

Sustainable development of domestic agricultural production involves the use of new approaches to ensuring the financial security of agricultural producers, which is due to modern geopolitical challenges and the dynamics of economic development in Russia. The article focuses on solving the problems of ensuring the financial security of regional agri-food market entities in the context of tightening sanctions, developing an import substitution strategy and scientific and technological development of the agro-industrial complex. The study identified a number of problems in ensuring the financial security of agricultural organizations in the region: economic consequences of climate change, instability of purchase prices for agricultural products, dependence of agricultural production on imports, poor development of the insurance system of the agro-industrial sector, insufficient government support, personnel crisis, and others. The purpose of the study is to identify existing problems and develop directions for ensuring the financial security of agricultural entities in the region in the context of a mobilization economy. The research methodology is based on the use of various methods and approaches that consider the process of ensuring the financial security of agricultural organizations as a result of solving interrelated problems. The results of the study can be used in the framework of measures to improve the system of financial support for agricultural producers at the federal and regional levels and to ensure their financial security.