Research of meat production and dairy products in the saratov region

Issue № 3, 2018, article № 6, pages 45-53

Language: Russian

Original language title: ИССЛЕДОВАНИЕ ПРОИЗВОДСТВА МЯСНОЙ И МОЛОЧНОЙ ПРОДУКЦИИ В САРАТОВСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ

Keywords: TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, REGIONAL AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX, MEAT AND DAIRY INDUSTRY, SMALL BUSINESSES

Abstract: In the article problems and prospects of development of the market of meat and dairy products are considered. A dynamic analysis of the production of meat and dairy products at the regional level has been carried out. Based on a two-sample F-test for variance, the presence of a trend in the time series was checked; On the basis of the analysis of the autocorrelation function, the presence of seasonal and cyclic components of time series was verified; Based on the analysis of the residual models for randomness, independence and normality, the adequacy of the constructed models is checked. As a result, a forecast was made for the production of meat and dairy products for 2017-2019, the errors in the approximation of which fell within the range from 7.5 to 10.85‰. The problems connected with the development of enterprises of the agrarian sector of the economy are considered.

Authors: Kublin Igor Mikhailovich, Tindova Mariia Gennadevna, Tiniakova Viktoriia Ivanovna