Concept of a Theoretical Model of Low-Carbon Transformation of Regional Agri-Food Systems

Issue № 11, 2022, article № 2, pages 10-19

Section: Agrarian policy: problems and decisions

Language: Russian

Original language title: КОНЦЕПЦИЯ ТЕОРЕТИЧЕСКОЙ МОДЕЛИ НИЗКОУГЛЕРОДНОЙ ТРАНСФОРМАЦИИ РЕГИОНАЛЬНЫХ АГРОПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННЫХ СИСТЕМ

Keywords: AGRO-FOOD SYSTEMS, CLIMATE CHANGE, REGIONS, MODEL, LOW-CARBON TRANSFORMATION

Abstract: The article presents approaches to mathematical modeling of the agro-food system at the regional level, designed to be used as a means of analysis, justification and rational choice of effective options for adapting to the requirements of a low-carbon economy. A dynamic version of the model is considered, which describes the controlled process of transformation of the sectoral structure of crop and livestock production in their interaction, changes in the technological basis of the agro-food system. The criteria for the effectiveness of options are the profit from economic activity and the size of the carbon footprint, calculated for three types of gases: carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide. The features of the mathematical description of the model include the use of climatic information in the forecast interval, the presence in its composition of a module for assessing the reserves of soil humus as a potential carbon storage, the use of locally optimal solutions when choosing the herd of dairy cows, parameters of fattening cattle.

Authors: Siptits Stanislav Ottovich