Risk Factors of the Export Food Potential Management Process

Issue № 9, 2022, article № 3, pages 22-27

Language: Russian

Original language title: ФАКТОРЫ РИСКА ПРОЦЕССА УПРАВЛЕНИЯ ЭКСПОРТНЫМ ПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННЫМ ПОТЕНЦИАЛОМ

Keywords: EXPORT POTENTIAL, FOOD EXPORT, EXPORT-ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT, EXPORT MANAGEMENT, RISK-ORIENTED APPROACH, RISK MANAGEMENT, MANAGEMENT ARCHITECTURE

Abstract: Export food potential risks associated with the current situation in the domestic and foreign markets have a significant impact on both production results and exports of food and agricultural raw materials. For their objective assessment, forecasting and further management of potential consequences, it is necessary to study risk situations, present the model in the context of risk factors, causes and threats. The authors developed a generalized model of the risk situation, determined the place of risk factors in it, and established the general principles of their influence on the management object. The authors have determined that the risk event contains negative and positive impulses, which generate risk factors for the formation and development of export food potential, leading to a change in its expected quantitative and qualitative characteristics. To develop tools for influencing risk factors, groups were identified (in relation to the research or management object, by level of occurrence, by source of origin) and the main classes of risk factors for the formation and development of export food potential were identified. The results are the foundation for further developments in the methodology of risk-oriented management of the export food potential of the country and regions. The classification system of risk factors developed in the article is conditionally constant and can be supplemented and expanded in the context of a dynamically changing environment and the specifics of foreign trade.

Authors: Sukhanova Irina Fedorovna, Sannikova Marina Olegovna, SHaronova Evgeniia Vitalevna