Using the program-target method for forecasting socio-economic indicators

Issue № 9, 2021, article № 6, pages 61-67

Section: Economic mechanism of managing

Language: Russian

Original language title: ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕ ПРОГРАММНО–ЦЕЛЕВОГО МЕТОДА ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ СОЦИАЛЬНО-ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИХ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ

Keywords: SWOT-АНАЛИЗ, PROGRAM-TARGET METHOD, SWOT ANALYSIS, STRATEGY, SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF THE TERRITORY, COMPETITIVENESS OF THE REGION, INVESTMENT ATTRACTIVENESS OF THE MUNICIPALITY, RURAL TERRITORIES, STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT

Abstract: The reduction of spatial heterogeneity (differentiation) creates more favourable conditions for the development of the national market, the harmonization of socio-economic transformations, the formation of an all-Russian mentality at a qualitatively higher level, and the strengthening of the unity of the Russian state. On the contrary, increasing heterogeneity makes it difficult to carry out a unified policy of socio-economic transformations and the formation of a national market, increases the risks of regional crises and interregional conflicts, the disintegration of the national economy, and the weakening of the integrity of society and the state. The use of the program-target method of forecasting socio-economic indicators is currently the most effective, since the formation and execution of budgets of different levels of the budget system is also carried out by the program-target method. Ensuring the effectiveness of the system of budgetary relations is one of the most important state tasks. The unstable economic situation, which is typical for the present time, causes a shortage of financial resources at all levels of the budget system. Therefore, the issue of the competent organization of the allocation of budget resources is of particular relevance for ensuring socio-economic development. The study summarized the practice of local self-government development and identified the need for further improvement of legislation to strengthen the role of local self-government in solving socio-economic problems through financial mechanisms, combining the powers of local self-government bodies and the program-target method of budget formation. So, using the example of a specific municipality - the Kishertsky Municipal District of the Perm Territory, it was revealed that the relationship between the implemented programs and the indicators of its socio-economic development is quite close. In addition, many indicators of socio-economic development are reflected in several programs at once. It follows from the above that the process of regional development must be regulated and predicted.

Authors: Kuznetsova Elvira Rudolfovna, Semin Aleksandr Nikolaevich, Mikhailiuk Oksana Nikolaevna