The prospects of cattle breeding development in the voronezg region

DOI 10.33305/1912-66

Issue № 12, 2019, article № 6, pages 66-77

Language: Russian

Original language title: ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫ РАЗВИТИЯ СКОТОВОДСТВА В ВОРОНЕЖСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ

Keywords: CATTLE BREEDING, DAIRY CATTLE BREEDING, MEAT CATTLE BREEDING, DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL, DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS, VORONEZH REGION

Abstract: The development potential of cattle breeding is considered as the sector’s ability to organize the reproduction process, ensuring the maintenance of optimal structural proportions and adjusting the functioning in accordance with the changes in the operational environment. The features of its formation and use are determined by the specifics of the organization of reproduction of the herd and the forage base of the sector; differences in the structure of investments in projects for the development of dairy and beef cattle breeding; significant differences in the efficiency of livestock production; differentiation of territories according to the sector development conditions; heterogeneity of development potentials among business entities of various categories. The development potential of cattle breeding is largely determined by the development level of the market for milk and meat of cattle and their processed products. The degree of this influence is affected by: relatively high localization of livestock product markets, differences in territories in terms of the self-sufficiency level of livestock products and the structure of the agricultural sector, the decrease in demand for it, underutilization of milk and meat processing capacities associated with high level of saturation of dairy and meat products markets, which remains import dependence of domestic cattle milk and meat markets, maintaining high proportion of milk and meat consumed omitting the exchange stage, insufficient competitiveness of the domestic cattle products. To ground the forecast parameters of the sector development, the method of exponential smoothing with a damped trend is used. The performed calculations indicate the tension, but the realism of the indicators for the development of dairy cattle, set by the Strategy for the region development, while the possibility of reaching the specified parameters for increasing the livestock of specialized meat breeds is considered unrealizable.

Authors: Ulezko Andrei Valerevich, Riabova Evgeniia Petrovna, Reimer Valerii Viktorovich