The prospective parameters of the development of agro-food complex of the voronezh region

Issue № 7, 2019, article № 1, pages 4-12

Section: Agrarian policy: problems and decisions

Language: Russian

Original language title: ПЕРСПЕКТИВНЫЕ ПАРАМЕТРЫ РАЗВИТИЯ АГРОПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННОГО КОМПЛЕКСА ВОРОНЕЖСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ

Keywords: AGRO-FOOD COMPLEX, DEVELOPMENT, DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS, OPTIMAL PARAMETERS, REGION

Abstract: The set of the tasks for management of the complex economic system development can be grouped into the following aggregate tasks: based on the objective assessment of the development trends of the management object and its current state, set the system development goals, formalizing them using the set of quantitative indicators, ground the optimal way for their achievement, and ensure the system’s functioning within the limits of permissible deviations from this way. As a tool for substantiating the optimal parameters for the development of the regional agro-food complex, it is proposed to use an aggregated economic-mathematical model to optimize the combination of agricultural sectors of the block-diagonal type, in which various categories of farms are represented as separate blocks, and the balance of food resources in the connecting block. As a criterion for the optimality of the first (basic) development scenario, the maximization of the value of the final product of the agro-food complex in the region excluding products aimed at intermediate consumption is used, in the second scenario the maximization of the difference between the value of commercial products and the costs of its production excluding households. When implementing the parameters of the first scenario, the cost of the final product of the agro-food complex of the Voronezh region (in 2018 prices) may reach 265.1 billion roubles, and the attributable profit for agricultural organizations and peasant farm enterprise (excluding subsidies) - 45.6 billion roubles. In the second scenario, the cost of the final product decreases to 260.3 billion roubles, and the conditional profit increases to 49.9 billion roubles, while the level of profitability of the products of the agro-food complex reaches 35.9‰ (according to the first option - 32.3‰).

Authors: Ulezko Andrei Valerevich, Kovalenko IUliia Nikolaevna, Reimer Valerii Viktorovich