Trends in the development of the milk market in the Russian Federation

Issue № 10, 2025, article № 10, pages 91-96

Language: Russian

Original language title: ТЕНДЕНЦИИ РАЗВИТИЯ РЫНКА МОЛОКА В РОССИЙСКОЙ ФЕДЕРАЦИИ

Keywords: MILK AND DAIRY PRODUCTS, PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION, FACTOR, CONSUMER INFLATION, ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY, GOVERNMENT SUPPORT

Abstract: Milk and dairy products are a key type of agricultural product, which is a source of animal fat and protein. An analysis of the dynamics of milk production and consumption revealed a deficit of this type of raw material, which limits the level of domestic consumption and entails a change in the structure of sources for meeting the need for milk and dairy products. An assessment of the influence of first-order factors made it possible to establish that the growth in milk production volumes is ensured by an increase in the milk productivity of cows while reducing their number. The increase in the intensity of milk production entailed an increase in its cost and the average industry price. At the same time, the rate of consumer inflation for dairy products in 2024 remained lower than the average for food products in general by 6.0 percentage points. It was established that during 2019-2023, the efficiency of raw milk production exceeds the efficiency of its processing, as evidenced by the dynamics of the profitability level. The profitability of drinking milk in 2024 exceeded the profitability of pasteurized drinking milk by 5.6 percentage points. and was 4.6 times higher than the profitability of milk of varying degrees of processing. Analysis of the dynamics of state support for hammer cattle farming by type shows its increase by 4.1 times over the period 2015-2024. The growth occurred due to an increase in support for investment activity by 7.9 times and support for operating activities by 3.0 times. The projected growth in the volume of state support in 2025 will be 0.7%.

Authors: Kitaev IUrii Aleksandrovich, Kitaeva Oksana Vladimirovna, Zdorovets IUliia Ivanovna, Blinova IUliia IUrevna