Яндекс.Метрика

Issue № 6, June 2018, article № 5

Methodology of development of the agrofood market

The article presents the methodology of the prospects of the agro-industrial market and the relevance of its development. The concept of modeling the market prospects as a dynamic mechanism of supply-demand balance is proposed, the method of modeling the market prospects on the basis of variation deviations of trends is developed. The application of the proposed approach makes it possible to demonstrate the connection of the basic provisions of the market equilibrium theory with the problems of assessing the prospects of the situation in the agricultural markets. The market outlook modeling methodology includes four successive stages. Testing of the proposed method was carried out using official Rosstat data on the grain market. Over a twenty-year time interval, the changes in prices and production volumes were analyzed. The basic statistical parameters of regression are defined. The quantitative parameters of the dependence of the volumes of supply and demand and prices are established. The conditions of market equilibrium in the wheat market are determined. The elasticity of supply and demand for the price is estimated. The gradient and the nature of the market balance are revealed, the prospect of the Russian wheat market is described. Testing confirms the practical usefulness of the results in the wheat market prospects management. The proposed methodology can be used in the analysis of other markets with significant variability of parameters by their operators.

Issue № 6, June 2018, article № 6

The indicative mechanism of pricing in the grain market of the region

The structure of the price for the last quarter century has changed dramatically. If in the pre-perestroika period, in the prime cost of production, the main costs were for the maintenance of fixed assets, seeds and labour. Now, in 25 years, the expenses for the maintenance of fixed assets have been reduced by 2 times, but expenses for oil products and electric power have increased 5-fold, and overhead expenses (administrative expenses) have doubled. In unstable market conditions, an agricultural commodity producer is faced with the fact that after the sale of its goods it does not pay back its costs and is at a loss. The rather complicated and unstable situation on the grain market led to the result, when peasants, having received a large harvest, can not sell it at reasonable prices. The state in such situations should act as a guarantor of the fact that at such price hikes the commodity producer can always count on getting state support for the lost profit. For the operation of such a mechanism for regulating the grain market, we propose an indicative mechanism for pricing in the grain market, based on the definition of indicative prices, taking into account expanded reproduction. Calculation of indicative prices should be made taking into account the net payback of costs for the production of gross output. Proceeding from the offered technique actually in 2015 producers of grain has received less 1529.4 million roubles. Settlement indication price of grain in 2020 will be 9.48, in 2025 - 13.1 thousand roubles/t.

Issue № 6, June 2018, article № 7

Issue № 5, May 2018, article № 1

Conceptual and innovative model of agro-industrial reproduction in the conditions of the industry 4.0: features and prospects

The purpose of article consists in development of conceptual and innovative model of agro-industrial reproduction in the conditions of the industry 4.0. The theoretic and methodological base was created by the advanced researches of modern Russian and foreign scientists concerning modernization of agrarian and industrial complex and optimization of system of agro-industrial reproduction. In work three most perspective directions of modernization of agrarian and industrial complex on the basis of the industry 4.0 are designated: diversification and optimization of agro-industrial production with use of the latest technologies and opportunities of the industry 4.0, use of the latest technologies for delivery of food production to consumers and increases in efficiency of a chain of value added of agrarian and industrial complex and also introduction of inter industry cross-industrial technologies and applications for expansion of cooperation and integration of the agrarian and industrial complex enterprises. Authors have offered the most promising and demanded technologies allowing to realize this directions and also the author's conceptual and innovative model of agro-industrial reproduction in the conditions of the industry 4.0 directed to formation of agrarian and industrial complex 4.0 is developed. Implementation of this model will allow to solve successfully a problem of global food security thanks to ensuring high productivity, controllability, independence of climatic conditions and ecological safety of agrarian and industrial complex.