Retrospective analysis of economic development in rural territories as a forecasting tool: the case of the Republic of Crimea

Issue № 4, 2024, article № 11, pages 101-112

Section: Development of rural territories

Language: Russian

Original language title: РЕТРОСПЕКТИВНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ РАЗВИТИЯ ЭКОНОМИКИ СЕЛЬСКИХ ТЕРРИТОРИЙ КАК ИНСТРУМЕНТ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ: КЕЙС РЕСПУБЛИКИ КРЫМ

Keywords: RURAL AREAS, RURAL ECONOMICS, RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS, FORECASTING THE ECONOMY OF RURAL AREAS, GENETIC CODE OF THE TERRITORY, CRIMEAN PENINSULA, REPUBLIC OF CRIMEA

Abstract: Theory, methodology and practice of trends and patterns studying in the development of the economy of rural areas, are at the stage of comprehension, as well as the justification of promising directions for their development. The aim of this study is to identify promising directions for the development of the economy of rural areas of the Republic of Crimea on the scientific basis of conducting a retrospective analysis for a period of more than one hundred and twenty-five years. The methodological basis of the study was a set of scientific concepts, fundamental provisions of the regional economy, which also includes knowledge of rural areas. The research methodology is based on the approaches of formalization, systematization and bivariate approach, content analysis, as well as methods of analogies, system-structural, system-functional, comparative-analytical, historical. The main results of the study are: collection and systematization of empirical material on the development of rural areas of Crimea over a long retrospective period of more than 125 years (from the end of the 19th century to the present); identification of key factors and conditions for the development of the economy of rural areas of Crimea, with justification for the predominance of the institutional group among them; substantiation of the “genetic code for the development of the Crimean Peninsula, which is based on agricultural production based on the use of unique natural resources and conditions; forecasting the main trends in the development of the economy of rural areas of Crimea, which will be based on the predominant process of diversification in the direction of the development of tourism (ecological, fishing, etc.), accompanying tourism as a result of the manifestation of the multiplier effect of types of economic activities (trade, catering, hotel activities, etc. ), as well as sanatorium and resort activities.

Authors: Oborin Matvei Sergeevich, Novikova Natalia Valerevna