Modeling Strategies for Sustainable Functioning of Grain Producers at the Micro Level

Issue № 12, 2023, article № 7, pages 56-65

Language: Russian

Original language title: МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ СТРАТЕГИЙ УСТОЙЧИВОГО ФУНКЦИОНИРОВАНИЯ ПРОИЗВОДИТЕЛЕЙ ЗЕРНА НА МИКРОУРОВНЕ

Keywords: AGRARIAN ECONOMY, MICRO LEVEL, SIMULATION MODEL, ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY, SUSTAINABILITY, DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY, GRAIN FARMING

Abstract: In the conditions of obtaining an unprecedented grain harvest in 2022, it is important and necessary to study its impact on the economic efficiency of the functioning of direct agricultural organizations. In the Russian Federation, the main branch of the agro-industrial complex is grain farming. The country is one of the three world leaders in production, cultivation area, yield and export of grain crops. The 2021-2022 season broke the record for grain production - 157.7 million tons were harvested. The industry owes significant indicators to an increase in harvested areas to 46.9 million hectares (3.1%) and an increase in average yield by 26.0%. Grain farming is the basis of agricultural production in the Stavropol Territory, whose share is 5.9% in the total Russian volume. Despite significant achievements, agricultural producers face certain difficulties due to the current production and economic situation in the domestic grain market in the Stavropol Territory. The analysis of the results of financial and economic activity of agricultural enterprises of the Stavropol Territory, implementing grain production programs, was carried out. The reasons for the current situation are identified and the elements of an integrated system for the sustainable functioning of the production and sale of grain crops are identified. Based on the analysis of the monthly dynamics of price indices for agricultural crop products for five years, simulation model situations of the influence of the implementation period on the performance indicators of agricultural organizations at the micro level were studied. The degree of impact of seasonal price fluctuations, the rate of rise in price (cheapening) of products, storage costs and the inevitable natural loss on the marginality of the production and financial result are determined. Variants of the optimal strategy for the sale of grain products, providing the most profitable guaranteed economic result, are proposed.

Authors: Kashchaev Igor Valentinovich, Kashchaev Andrei Igorevich