Impact of causal relationships between environmental and social risks on the development of rural areas of the region

Issue № 4, 2023, article № 9, pages 82-88

Section: Development of rural territories

Language: Russian

Original language title: ВЛИЯНИЕ ПРИЧИННО-СЛЕДСТВЕННЫХ СВЯЗЕЙ МЕЖДУ ЭКОЛОГИЧЕСКИМИ И СОЦИАЛЬНЫМИ РИСКАМИ НА РАЗВИТИЕ СЕЛЬСКИХ ТЕРРИТОРИЙ РЕГИОНА

Keywords: CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS, RURAL AREAS, ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL RISKS, ALGORITHM OF ACTIONS, IMPACT CRITERIA, RISK INTERACTION MAP, FACTOR MODEL

Abstract: The article investigated the impact of causal relationships between environmental and social risks on the development of rural areas of the region. The sustainable development of rural areas is characterized by an increasing role of operational management of current social risks against the background of strategic management of environmental risks and the development of preventive measures to minimize them. Against the background of improving the integrated idea of risks in general, and causal relationships between their species at the level of rural areas, it makes it possible to take into account the severity of the consequences of each type of risk, their impact on the achievement of strategic goals for the development of rural areas and agricultural enterprises in these areas functioning. It is determined that risk-generating factors exacerbate the development of rural areas and influence their economic, social and production activities, and as a result, contribute to an increase in the scale of the consequences of risk events. It was revealed that risk-forming factors form negative environmental consequences affecting the level of quality of life of the region's population. Environmental risks are the root cause of social risks of rural development, where it is important to highlight a complex of causal events of an accidental nature that entail environmental violations, accompanied by a deterioration in the health of rural residents, a decrease in the ability of agricultural workers to work, life and professional demotivation and other social problems. To solve the identified problems, it is proposed to build a generalized map of the relationship between environmental and social risks of rural areas of the causal factor model. When forming a generalized map, the methodology for constructing a matrix map of environmental and social risks of rural areas of risk for rural areas of Kuzbass was used. It is advisable to take the study and its gods into account when adjusting strategic development programs for rural areas.

Authors: Kosinskii Petr Dmitrievich, CHupriakova Alena Grigorevna, Merkurev Vladimir Vladimirovich, IUrzina Tatiana Aleksandrovna