Modeling strategies for sustainable interaction of grape and wine enterprises

Issue № 3, 2023, article № 6, pages 60-70

Language: Russian

Original language title: МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ СТРАТЕГИЙ УСТОЙЧИВОГО ВЗАИМОДЕЙСТВИЯ ВИНОГРАДОВИНОДЕЛЬЧЕСКИХ ПРЕДПРИЯТИЙ

Keywords: SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC AND MATHEMATICAL MODEL, SCENARIO TREE, FORECASTING, SIMULATION MODEL, GRAPE-GROWING SUB COMPLEX

Abstract: In the article, based on the analysis of the functioning of the viticulture sub complex of the Russian Federation and the Stavropol Territory, complex criterial indicators of the effectiveness of its development are determined. Criteria conditions and limitations of these indicators are formulated, which make it possible to determine the algorithms for its development, which ensure the effectiveness of regional programs for the development of cooperation in viticulture and the search for a relationship between indicators of the development of agricultural consumer cooperation and indicators of the quality of life of the rural population. Based on these principles, simulation models are presented that characterize the deepening of technological production processes in the viticulture sub complex, and their relationship and effectiveness are analyzed. The methodological-instrumental and socio-economic prerequisites for the results of scenario forecasting of the processes of sustainable development of the grape-wine-making market of the agro-industrial complex of Russia are substantiated. Economic calculations confirm the possibility of increasing through the redistribution (iterations) of production processes, changing the economy of both a particular enterprise and the self-sufficiency of the industry as a whole, by building business chains based on cooperation, diversifying industrial assets of deep processing, involving finance and use of state support measures.

Authors: Nazarenko Anton Vladimirovich, Kashchaev Igor Valentinovich, Isaenko Aleksandr Pavlovich