Assessment of the Region's Self-Sufficiency in Food

Issue № 3, 2022, article № 8, pages 74-82

Language: Russian

Original language title: ОЦЕНКА УРОВНЯ САМООБЕСПЕЧЕНИЯ РЕГИОНА ПРОДОВОЛЬСТВИЕМ

Keywords: FOOD SECURITY, AGRICULTURE, THE LEVEL OF SELF-SUFFICIENCY OF THE REGION WITH BASIC FOODSTUFFS

Abstract: The article presents the results of analyzing the agricultural sector of the Kaliningrad region in the aspect of ensuring its food security. The authors proposed an approach to the diagnosis of food security; more attention is paid to the development and results of approbation of an algorithm for analyzing the physical availability of basic food types for the population of the region. The developed algorithm includes the following steps: Assessment of the level of physical availability of basic food types, determining the level of self-sufficiency of the population by the main food products, the formation of a prognostic assessment of the level of self-sufficiency of the population of the region by the main foods, determination of the coating coefficient of food imports. The paper presents the results of its use when analyzing the level of self-sufficiency of the Kaliningrad region, the main food products from the position of the food independence. The results of the implementation of each of the steps within the proposed algorithm obtained during the study are described in detail. Based on the analysis of temporary series, trends in the development of the industry are determined; the results of the prognostic assessment of the level of self-sufficiency of the region of agricultural products are presented. Analysis of the dynamics of the level of self-sufficiency of the region The main types of agricultural products was supplemented with an analysis of another coefficient, allowing to assess the level of physical availability of food, namely the coefficient of coverage of food products. The studies have allowed the authors to conclude that the value of the self-sufficiency coefficient on the main food products belongs to the permissible level, but the calculation and analysis of the second coefficient indicates a high degree of dependence of the region from the import of food. The identified trends characteristic of the region agriculture allow the authors to talk about the projected improvement in the physical availability of food through the development of its own production, which will improve the level of food independence.

Authors: Mnatsakanian Albert Gurgenovich, Pobegailo Marina Grigorevna