Whether there is a potential for grain projects in the southern non-black earth region?

Issue № 12, 2018, article № 7, pages 59-66

Language: Russian

Original language title: ЕСТЬ ЛИ ПОТЕНЦИАЛ ДЛЯ ЗЕРНОВЫХ ПРОЕКТОВ В ЮЖНОМ НЕЧЕРНОЗЕМЬЕ?

Keywords: PRODUCTION FRONTIER, EMPIRICAL DISTRIBUTION MODEL, STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING, COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES, GRAIN

Abstract: For check of a hypothesis the numerical behavioural model of Farrell’s type based on the nonparametric border of production capabilities constructed according to reporting data of the agricultural organizations is used. The hypothesis about the comparative advantages of grain production due to the availability of unused agricultural lands is supported for corporate farms in three oblasts of Russia's South Non-black-earth zone (Kaluga, Tula and Ryazan), only if the technological progress results in at least 1‰ productivity growth. In this case, the incremental grain production amounts to 4.10‰. This capacity is not sufficient for implementing large-scale grain projects.

Authors: Svetlov Nikolai Mikhailovich