Development of methodical bases of forecasting of production capabilities of the agro food sector of economy

Issue № 12, 2018, article № 5, pages 38-51

Section: Economic mechanism of managing

Language: Russian

Original language title: РАЗВИТИЕ МЕТОДИЧЕСКИХ ОСНОВ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ ПРОИЗВОДСТВЕННЫХ ВОЗМОЖНОСТЕЙ АГРОПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННОГО СЕКТОРА ЭКОНОМИКИ

Keywords: PROGNOSTICS, FOOD MARKET, ANALYSIS, FUNCTIONING, PARAMETERS, PROBLEM SECTORS, COMPETITIVE SOUNDNESS

Abstract: The relevance of the proposed is due to problems of implementing a development strategy of the national food supply system considering the parameters of food security in the problem sectors, which include beef production, milk, the formation of a national seed system, staffing and the need for skilled personnel and the development of horticulture. An important aspect of this is the further improvement of the mechanism for forecasting food volumes in the conditions of insufficient systematic methods of managerial influence and the lack of development resources. The imperfection of today’s approaches used are of particular importance because the development trends of national food supply system are not described in the modern prognosis and not correspond to the development parameters of problem sectors of the food market. Thus, the development of the mechanism for managing the development of the national food supply system requires the improvement of methodological tools to ensure this strategic objective. The purpose of this article is to form a methodological approach to predict the parameters of the problem sectors of the agro-food market and on the basis of this further improvement of proposals to improve the management of the development of the national food supply system.

Authors: Ananev Mikhail Aleksandrovich, Burlankov Stepan Petrovich, Ananeva Olga Mikhailovna, Burlankov Petr Stepanovich