Assessment of the Impact of Structural Changes in Resource Potential on the Dynamics of Agricultural Production in Russia

Issue № 4, 2025, article № 8, pages 79-85

Language: Russian

Original language title: ОЦЕНКА ВЛИЯНИЯ СТРУКТУРНЫХ ИЗМЕНЕНИЙ В РЕСУРСНОМ ПОТЕНЦИАЛЕ НА ДИНАМИКУ ВЫПУСКА ПРОДУКЦИИ АГРАРНОГО ПРОИЗВОДСТВА РОССИИ

Keywords: RESOURCE POTENTIAL, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION, STRUCTURAL CHANGES, OUTPUT, INTERSECTORAL INTERACTIONS

Abstract: One of the factors influencing the structure of the resource potential of agricultural production is the established inter-sectoral interactions between the agricultural sector and the industries that supply production resources for it. The analysis of changes in the structure of the resource potential of agricultural production in Russia is carried out using the methodology of intersectoral balance with the allocation of resource groups according to their importance and significance for the production process in the agricultural sector. To assess the structural changes, indicators were calculated that characterize the differences in the use of resources over a number of years, as well as reflecting both annual changes (chain values) and their vector (basic values). For a more complete analysis of the dynamics of agricultural production output under the influence of structural changes in its resource potential, it is proposed to compare the chain values of indicators with the annual growth rates of production, and the basic values with the accumulated growth over the corresponding period of time. It is shown that the impact of current structural changes in the resource potential of agricultural production on the dynamics of output is most pronounced next year, and in the future there is a decrease in the dependence of production growth rates on the structure of resource potential. The trends and features of the relationships between structural changes in the resource potential and the dynamics of output are revealed. The use of measures for the formation and use of the resource potential of agricultural production is justified for the implementation of short-term measures of state agrarian policy, the effectiveness of which will be determined by the structure of the resources used, their balance with the production needs of the agricultural sector and the need to ensure food security.

Authors: Potapov Andrei Pavlovich